News release from Fairfax Emergency Services
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center is predicting that a near-normal Atlantic hurricane season is most likely this year. This outlook forecasts a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.
The hurricane season officially began on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30.
For 2019, NOAA predicts a likely range of nine to 15 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which four to eight could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including two to four major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.
An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.
NOAA’s outlook is for overall seasonal activity and is not a landfall forecast.
Visit the National Hurricane Center’s website throughout the season to stay current on any watches and warnings.